Every year, we’re surprised by a handful of players who
emerge from obscurity to become instant fantasy heroes. We’re equally shocked when “can’t miss” studs
turn into duds overnight. (I’m looking
at you, Chris Johnson.)
But I can’t remember a time when an entire position seems to
have been flipped upside-down. Sure,
we’re only three weeks into the 2012 season, but what in the name of Johnny
Unitas is going on with the quarterbacks?
Tom Brady has thrown half as many touchdown passes as Ryan
Fitzpatrick. Cam Newton’s four combined
rushing and passing scores are one fewer than his interception total. Matt Stafford has just three TD tosses in as
many games. Tony Romo has found the end
zone just once since the Cowboys’ opener.
After the first two weeks, Aaron Rodgers trailed in the
fantasy rankings behind such pedestrian passers as Matt Cassel, Alex Smith, Sam
Bradford, Joe Flacco and Andy Dalton. Drew
Brees finally got on track in Sunday’s matchup; but Peyton Manning is still
kicking off the rust. Michael Vick is a
flipping turnover machine.
Meanwhile, those of us who spent a first- or second-round
draft pick on one of these “elite” quarterbacks would have been better off, so
far anyway, with a rookie (Robert Griffin III), a fifth-year passer that has
never ranked higher than eighth (Matt Ryan), or a perennial fantasy backup (Ben
Roethlisberger).
The NFL is the most popular game in the land because, among other
things, any team can beat any other “on any given Sunday.” But that maxim normally doesn’t apply to
individual players.
Jake Locker isn’t supposed to out-perform Stafford. Flacco should never take Brady to school. Kevin Kolb couldn’t beat out John Skelton
this preseason, so how does he thoroughly upstage Vick on Sunday?
These things have a way of working themselves out over time,
so don’t panic if your starting quarterback is weighing down your team.
But you have my permission to whine about it.
FREE AGENT PICKS AND PANS
To win a fantasy championship,
it helps to start with a great draft. But filling in your roster throughout the
season with the right free agents is also important. Here's a look at players
worth considering, and others who would look better in someone else's lineup.
Catch ‘em while you
can
Mikel Leshoure, RB, Lions. Not only did Leshoure step
directly out of a two-week suspension and into the starting job, but Kevin
Smith was completely missing in action.
That speaks volumes about how the Detroit coaches view the RB pecking
order. If Leshoure is still available,
run, don’t walk, to the waiver wire.
Daniel Thomas, RB, Dolphins. Big things were expected from Thomas when Miami selected him in the second round of the 2011 draft. But injuries and Reggie Bush’s stellar play conspired to ruin his rookie season. Though Bush’s knee injury is not as serious as first feared, Thomas seems destined for at least one start in his place. This could be the opening he needs to re-stake his claim to fantasy relevance.
Kyle Rudolph,
TE, Vikings. I’m not putting my trust in
Christian Ponder just yet, but I’m getting more and more intrigued by his
safety valve. With three TDs over the
last two games, the 6’6” receiver is starting to fulfill his red-zone
potential. Ponder would be wise to keep
looking his way.
Don’t be fooled
Shaun Hill, QB,
Lions. Unless Matt Stafford’s leg injury
proves to be more than a one-week liability, there’s no need to rush to claim
his backup. Hill has a strong track
record of performing well in relief, but you’re better off looking elsewhere if
you need a QB. Guys like Ryan Fitzpatrick,
Sam Bradford and Carson Palmer are widely available, and offer more long-term
help.
Tashard Choice,
RB, Bills. C.J. Spiller is expected to
miss 1-2 weeks with a sprained shoulder, but Fred Jackson (knee) is hoping to
return this Sunday. If he can’t go,
Choice will get the start against the Patriots.
The career backup has had success when pressed into duty before,
including Sunday’s contest; but he’s recommended only to those already invested
in the Bills’ backfield.
T.Y. Hilton,
WR, Colts. The rookie flashed his
potential on Sunday, and he could mature into a quality receiver as he and
Andrew Luck build their NFL resumes. But
Hilton’s 113-yard, one-TD game looked like more of an aberration than a
coming-out party, after he was targeted just once over his first two
games. Keep an eye on him; but as long
Donnie Avery is still in the picture, Hilton’s upside is limited. In addition,
Indy is heading into its bye week.
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