Monday, September 3, 2012

Final thoughts before the games begin

Your draft is in the books, or will be shortly.  The Cowboys and Giants kick off the NFL season Wednesday night.  The wait is nearly over for those of us whose lives seem just a tad incomplete without the thrill of fantasy football competition.

These final hours seem to be more than some of you can handle, however.  My Twitter account has been lit up with questions about various trade scenarios from owners who’ve apparently been staring at their rosters a little too hard and feel the need to do something, anything, to better position themselves for success out of the gate.

May I offer one simple word of advice?  Relax! 

Stop panicking about your team before it has even taken the field.  You presumably spent a reasonable (if not unreasonable) amount of time preparing for your draft, and you made the best choices you could under the circumstances.  Now give your guys a chance to compete.

There will be plenty of opportunities to tweak your roster, if necessary, after the season begins, either through trade or free agency.  Making an impulsive move now – driven by irrational concern or sheer boredom – is more likely to backfire than propel you to fantasy glory.

Heck, the NFL even cut 24 hours off our wait this year.  So take a deep breath, get your lineup set and spend a little extra time with the family.  Before you know it, Romo and Eli will be slinging the pigskin around and everything will be right in the world again. 

Okay, I’ll toss you one bone.  If Jonathan Dwyer is available in your league and you have an extra kicker, defense or other expendable player at the bottom of your roster, grab him.  The Steelers tailback has had an impressive preseason, and could even draw the Week 1 start against the Broncos, thanks to a slew of nagging injuries to Isaac Redman.

If the fast-rising Dwyer out-performs Redman in the opener, he could potentially seize the starting job going forward.  You’re better off grabbing him now, rather than taking your chances on the waiver wire next week.

Another hot Twitter topic centers on the status of Maurice Jones-Drew, who finally ended his acrimonious 38-day holdout and reported to the Jaguars on Sunday.  Will he play?  Will he start?  More specifically, should he be in your starting lineup, or resting safely on your bench in Week 1? 

Unfortunately, your guess is probably as good as mine, since Jags head coach Mike Mularkey hasn’t returned my calls, emails, texts, Tweets, pokes or smoke signals. 

No doubt, starting MJD in Week 1 poses a significant degree of risk.  The decision, therefore, comes down to your alternatives.  Do you have another running back with clearer prospects for success?  If you play with a flex position, do you have a safer option at WR or TE? 

I expect Jones-Drew will see some action on Sunday in Minnesota; but Rashad Jennings will draw the start and the bulk of the carries.  If you have a choice between those two, Jennings is your man. 

Earlier last week, Kenny Britt and his fantasy owners got the best news they could possibly have hoped for, when the NFL imposed a hand-slap suspension of just one week for the receiver’s eighth – eighth!!! – arrest since turning pro in 2009.  As a result, Britt catapulted up draft boards and gave those who gambled a late-round pick on him just days earlier a serendipitous boost to their 2012 prospects.

Britt, whose injured knee is expected to be fully healed by Week 2, has the potential to produce at an elite fantasy level.  An opening-game “bye” is a small price to pay for a fantasy wideout with that much potential.  Don’t ever get in a car he’s driving; but don’t hesitate to grab him if your draft is still ahead.

Those counting on big things from Hakeem Nicks should brace themselves for some pre-game jitters throughout the season.  The explosive wideout has admitted that his surgically repaired foot is not yet fully healed, and that he expects to play with pain all year.  That’s not what you want to hear in the preseason from one of your most important players. 

You know by now that Jason Witten’s prospects for playing in Wednesday’s opener are slim to none.  Like Britt, you’ll need to squirrel him away for a week; but probably no longer.  Once his lacerated spleen is fully healed, Witten should immediately return to elite form.

In even better news for Romo, both Dez Bryant (knee) and Miles Austin (hamstring) are fully expected to suit up for the Giants contest.

But to me, the most eagerly anticipated question of the 2012 season won’t be answered until Sunday night in Denver.  Will the historically durable, gun-slinging Peyton Manning be back, or will the post-neck injury version prove to be a fragile shell of the four-time league MVP?

The answer has huge implications not only for Manning’s owners and Broncos fans, but for those betting big on Demaryius Thomas, Eric Decker and Jacob Tamme.

Oh yes, I am ready for some (fantasy) football. 

6 comments:

  1. Ladd, here's my draft. 10 team, PPR. QB, 2 RB's, 3 WRs, TE, K, DEF. I had the 8th pick.

    1. Drew Brees
    2. Wes Welker
    3. Gronk
    4. Jamaal Charles
    5. Frank Gore
    6. Demaryius Thomas
    7. Torrey Smith
    8. Ryan Matthews
    9. Packers DE
    10. Danny Amendola
    11. Randy Moss
    12. Ryan Williams
    13. Titus Young
    14. Brandon Weeden (because I'm from Cleveland)
    15. Jason Hanson

    Please let me know what you think if you have the time. Thanks and Good luck this season!

    -Rick
    @therick445

    ReplyDelete
  2. Love it, except the homer pick. Nice work. If Mathews gets and stays healthy, you're golden.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hey Ladd it's Austin Green! Just wanted to see what you thought of my team this is who I have starting week one and who I have on the bench. Please let me know if you think any changes are needed!
    Starting:
    Cam Newton
    Darren McFadden
    Adrian Peterson
    Dez Bryant
    Steve Smith
    Jermichael Finley
    Reggie Wayne at Flex
    Stephen Gotskowskk
    Detroit Defense
    Bench
    Kenny Britt
    Mark Ingram
    Cedric Benson
    Santonio Holmes
    Dustin Keller
    New York Giants Defense

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hey Ladd it's Austin again I Judy made a change to my team and wanted to let you know before you respond I added Danny Amendola and dropped Dustin Keller. I currently have Amendola on the bench!

    ReplyDelete
  5. Like your team. A little concerned about your WRs. Of course, AP is a big risk too. I think your starters look right this week. Obviously Britt goes into the lineup in Week 2

    ReplyDelete
  6. Just started following you on Twitter. Thoughts on my team? 10 team PPR with 6PT passing TDs.

    Eli Manning
    Matt Forte
    Steven Jackson
    Calvin Johnson
    Brandon Marshall
    Antonio Brown
    Jason Witten (Greg Olsen Wk 1)
    Lions DST
    Blair Walsh (homer pick)

    Brandon Lloyd
    David Wilson
    Ryan Williams
    Titus Young
    Greg Olsen
    Jonathon Dwyer (dropped McCluster today)

    ReplyDelete